Fri, 23 October

Canada: Toronto: Plan journeys bypassing protests against COVID-19 restrictions on 24, 31 October

Members in Toronto (Ontario province) on 24 and 31 October should plan journeys bypassing protests at12.00 (local time) at Yonge-Dundas Square. ?The Line? activist group will hold the demonstrations against restrictions linked to the COVID-19 pandemic. The rallies are expected to pass off peacefully but are likely to cause localised traffic disruption.

Belarus: Minsk: Avoid women's march towards Independence Avenue on 24 October due to risk of unrest

Members in Minsk should avoid a women's march on 24 October due to the risk of unrest. Participants at 14.00 (local time) will march from Simon Bolivar Square towards Independence Avenue. The march is due to take place a day before an ultimatum for President Alexander Lukashenko to resign expires. The ultimatum was issued bySviatlana Tsikhanouskaya, who deems herself the rightful winner of the 9 August presidential election (see related alert). Any demonstration in Minsk islikely to be met with heavy-handed police response, including arbitrary detention.

Mexico: Mexico City: Avoid pro-government rally on 24 October; anticipate disruption

Members in the capital Mexico City on 24 October should avoid a pro-government demonstration at 13.00 (local time) at Angel de la Independencia. Protests against the government of President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador have also been ongoing in the capital. As such, there is a potential for clashes between rival groups, posing incidental risks to bystanders.

Asia & the Pacific: Hainan, Hong Kong, Macao: Anticipate disruption during passage of Typhoon Saudel

Members in Hainan province, Hong Kong and Macao (both China SAR) in the coming days should plan journeys accounting for disruption during the passage of Typhoon Saudel. On its current trajectory, the storm will not make landfall but pass just south of Hainan island on 24 October evening. Saudel will bring heavy rain and strong winds until 24 October to Hainan, including Sansha City. The National Meteorological Centre (NMC) has escalated its typhoon warning to ?yellow? (second lowest on a four-tier scale). Short-notice flight disruption is possible at Sanya Phoenix International Airport (SYX, Hainan).

Cyprus: Nicosia: Plan routes bypassing anti-corruption demonstration outside Presidential Palace on 24 October

Members in the capital Nicosia on 24 October should plan routes bypassing an anti-corruption protest at the Presidential Palace. At least four related demonstrations have taken place in recent days, when protesters have marched from the interior ministry building to the Presidential Palace. The protests are related to a reported scandal involving the sale of Cypriot citizenship by high-ranking officials to convicted criminals through an investment programme. Protesters are calling for a comprehensive investigation and the resignation of all those involved in the scandal.

Angola: Luanda: Avoid march towards Largo Primeiro de Maio on 24 October due to risk of unrest

Members in the capital Luanda on 24 October should avoid a planned march at 11.00 (local time) fromSanta Ana CemeterytowardsLargo Primeiro de Maio. The opposition UNITA party has organised the protest to denounce high unemployment rates in the country. The party is also demandingthat President Joao Lourencoannounce the exact date of the country's first municipal elections due to be held this year. The security forces are liable to use forceful measures to disperse protests, posing incidental risks to bystanders.

Bolivia: Avoid protests against election results; anticipate disruption due to planned strike in Santa Cruz department from 24 October

Members in Boliviaover the coming daysshould avoid further demonstrations against the results of the 18 October general election, which saw Luis Arce of the Movement to Socialism (MAS) party winning the presidency. Alleging electoral fraud, the right-wing Crucenista Youth Union (UJC) has called for a 48-hour strike in Santa Cruz department from 24 October. The strike is liable to cause significant transport disruption, particularly in the centre of the departmental capital Santa Cruz. Protests have been ongoing in the city and in Cochabamba (Cochabamba department) since 20 October, and multiple incidents of violence have occurred at related gatherings.

Vietnam: Northern, central provinces: Continue to minimise non-essential movement amid passage of Typhoon Saudel

Members in northern and central provinces should continue to minimise non-essential movementuntil at least 27 Octoberamid persistent heavy rainfall and in anticipation of Typhoon Saudel. The weather system is currently moving westward and is forecast to make landfall between Ha Tinh and Quang Tri provinceson25 October. Flooding has caused significant disruption, particularly in areas that have experienced continuous rain since early October. The National Centre for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting (NCHMF) has raised the disaster risk warning to 'Level Three? (third-highest on a five-tier scale).

Bermuda (UK): Essential travel can resume following passage of Hurricane Epsilon

Members can resume essential travel to Bermuda (UK) following the passage of Hurricane Epsilon. The weather system has weakened and is located 225 miles (360km) north-east of Bermuda, moving in a north-east direction. Epsilon is forecast to fluctuate in strength in the next 36 hours, and lose tropical storm characteristics on 25 October evening. The US National Hurricane Center (NHC) has lifted all coastal warnings and watches for Bermuda.

Poland: Warsaw: Avoid ongoing unruly protests in city centre area; anticipate associated disruption

Members in the capital Warsaw in the coming hours should avoid ongoing unruly protests in the city centre area and anticipate associated disruption. Hundreds of demonstrators are reportedly blocking traffic alongMickiewicza Street. There are also reports of ongoing protests in the city?s Zoliborz area. Further disruptive gatherings are likely in the coming hours, with potential for clashes between participants and the police.

Brazil: Rio de Janeiro: Shooting of motorist in Cidade Alta favela highlights risk of violent crime in HIGH risk areas

A man was shot and critically injured on 21 October after he inadvertently drove his car through theCidade Altafavela in northern Rio de Janeiro (Rio de Janeiro state). He was reportedly travelling alongAvenida Brasil, the main motorway connecting the northern and western regions of the city,when his vehicle?s Global Positioning System (GPS) routed him through the favela. The incident highlights the risks posed by violent crime in HIGH travel risk areas. We advise against self-driving in Rio de Janeiro, unless familiar with thelocal environment and the security situation.

Nigeria: Lagos: Abide by overnight curfew, minimise movement due to protests against police violence

Members in the commercial capital Lagos (Lagos state) should minimise movement and abide by an ongoing curfew. The authorities have announced that from 24 October the curfew will apply from 18.00 to 08.00 (local time). The authorities have imposed the curfew in response to growing incidents of unrest linked to protests against police violence (see separate alert). Sporadic violence and looting has occurred throughout Lagos, with certain areas acting as flashpoints for protests (see below map). Lagos?s Murtala Muhammed International Airport (LOS) remains operational, though many airlines have cancelled flights and movement across the city remains difficult.

Poland: Urban centres: Plan journeys bypassing protests against passing of controversial abortion law (Revised)

Members in urban centres in the coming days should plan journeys bypassing protests against the passing of a controversial abortion law. In the capital Warsaw, protests are likely around the deputy prime minister's house on Nowogrodzka street and the headquarters of the ruling Conservative Law and Justice (PIS) party. On the night of 22 October, the security forces used tear gas to disperse protesters in Warsaw. Further protests are also planned in other urban centres. These are liable to be forcibly dispersed by the police, posing incidental risks to bystanders.

Nigeria: Lagos: Avoid junction of Obafemi Awolowo Way, Kodesoh Street in Ikeja area following reports of gunfire (Revised)

Members in the commercial capital Lagos (Lagos state) in the coming hours should continue to avoid the junction of Obafemi Awolowo Way and Kodesoh Street in the Ikeja area following earlier gunfire. The security forces earlier responded to robberies at electronics shops in the area, resulting in gunfire. The situation at the junction remains unstable and members are advised to follow different routes to Lagos's Murtala Muhammed International Airport (LOS).

Turkey: Security operation in Gaziantep highlights risk of militancy, security force capabilities

The security forces on 21 October announced the discovery of an explosive device that had been placed under a vehicle near the Kar??yaka police station in ?ehitkamil district in Gaziantep (Gaziantep province). The security forces subsequently raided a suspected militant hideout and arrested two men in connection with the device. The incident highlights the capabilities of the security forces in combatting militancy threats, as well as the incidental risks such threats pose to bystanders. Members should exercise vigilance and minimise time spent near potential militant targets, including government and military interests, as well as political party offices.

India: Telangana state: Continue to plan journeys accounting for disruption in areas worst affected by heavy rain, flooding

Members in areas of Telangana state worst affected by heavy rain and flooding, especially its capital Hyderabad, should continue to plan journeys accounting for disruption in the coming days. Although previous rainfall warnings have been lifted by the India Meteorological Department (IMD), residual disruption to travel and essential services can still be expected. Flooded roads have caused substantial disruption in southern Hyderabad, as well as in Rangareddy and Medchal-Malkajgiri districts (both Telangana). Short-notice flight disruption at Hyderabad?s Rajiv Gandhi International Airport (HYD) remains possible.

United States: Weekend demonstrations likely following protests in Waukegan, Providence

Members in the US in the coming hours should anticipate further demonstrations over a range of political issues ahead of the 3 November general elections. Although most demonstrations remain peaceful, various recent events have been marred by incidents of violence, including arson, vehicle ramming attacks, shootings, as well as clashes between protesters and the police or counter-demonstrators. On 22 October, protesters in Waukegan (Illinois state) gathered to denounce the 20 October police shooting of an African American man. Members attending demonstrations should exercise caution and maintain access to communications in the event of an emergency.

Zimbabwe: Urban centres: Anti-sanctions protests on 25 October liable to cause disruption; plan journeys accordingly

Members in urban centres on 25 October should anticipate disruption during planned countrywide rallies, and plan journeys accordingly. The ruling ZANU-PF party and the Southern African Development Community (SADC) of the African Union have called for the demonstrations in protest at ongoing sanctions imposed on Zimbabwe by the US and EU.

France: COVID-19: Defer travel to areas under 'maximum alert'; abide by curfew imposed in several departments

Members should defer travel to areas of France which have been placed under 'maximum alert?. Furthermore, a curfew has been extended to several departments. It is in effect from 21.00 to 06.00 (local time). Essential travel to areas of France not under ?maximum alert? can proceed following a strict assessment of the COVID-19 situation and entry restrictions. Reconfirm region- and city-specific measures and refer to the COVID-19 information within the Pandemic Information Site for further details on travel restrictions. There is a potential for sudden changes in localised restrictions and containment measures.

Senegal: Dakar: Anticipate further unrest in Lansar area over planning controversies

Members in the Lansar area of the capital Dakar in the coming days should anticipate further unrest over planning controversies. During their eviction, local mechanics burned tyres and threw stones on 22 October in clashes with the security forces. Separately, the security forces forcibly dispersed protesters on Tally Bou Mak Street who were demonstrating against the proposed development of a nearby cemetery site.

Congo (DRC): Kinshasa: Allow additional journey time in coming hours following security force deployment

Members in the capital Kinshasa over the coming hours should allow additional time for journeys, following the reported deployment of security force personnel across the city. This development is linked to an anticipated address to the nation by President Felix Tshisekedi later in the day. The speech will be given amid heightened political tensions between Tshisekedi?s Heading for Change (CACH) coalition and the Common Front for Congo (FCC) alliance, which is aligned with former president Joseph Kabila (in office 2001-19).

Senegal: Dakar: Anticipate, avoid further election-related protests at Guinean embassy

Members in the capital Dakar over the coming days should avoid demonstrations outside neighbouring Guinea?s embassy, due to the risk of unrest. Protesters in recent days have gathered at the building to denounce the provisional results of the recent presidential election in Guinea (see our separate alert). A previous demonstration on 21 October was dispersed with tear gas by the police and the local authorities have warned against repeated protests.

Benin: Urban centres: Plan journeys accounting for disruption during women's marches on 26 October

Members in urban centreson 26 October should plan journeys accounting for disruption during nationwide women?s marches. In the commercial capital Cotonou (Littoral department), events are set to take place in the market areas of Dantokpa, Marche Saint-Michel, Marche de Vedoko, Marche Missebo, Marche Degakon, Marche d?Akassato and the Friendship Stadium. In the capital Porto Novo, a rally is planned in Marche Ouando. In other cities also, marches are set to take place in market areas.

United States: Colorado, Wyoming states: Plan journeys accounting for disruption amid ongoing wildfires; follow official directives

Members in Colorado and Wyoming states in the coming days should plan journeys accounting for disruption due to multiple ongoing wildfires. These have prompted the closure of several major roads, as well as mandatory evacuation orders and pre-evacuation notices for multiple counties. Members in affected areas should reconfirm the status of routes and follow all official directives.

Thu, 22 October

Myanmar: Rakhine state: Recent incidents highlight need to defer travel to conflict zones amid persistent clashes between military, rebels

Clashes between the military and rebels continue to be reported in the northern areas of Rakhine state. On 19 October, artillery shell attacks in Mrauk-U and Rathedaung townships (both Rakhine) killed two civilians and injured two others. Clashes have also been reported in Minbya township (Rakhine) between 30 September and 1 October. These incidents highlight the need for members to defer all travel to northern Rakhine due to incidental risks posed by intermittent fighting.

India: Urban centres: Avoid demonstrations over fatal rape case on 26, 29 October

Members in urban centres in the coming days should avoid demonstrations over a fatal sexual assault case. The main opposition Indian National Congress and women?s groups have called for nationwide protests on 26 and 29 October, respectively. Further details of the gatherings are not available. The demonstrations are related to the alleged sexual assault and subsequent death of a woman in September in Hathras (Uttar Pradesh state).

Cyprus: Deryneia: Avoid planned protest on 25 October over reopening of nearby Varosha due to risk of unrest (Correction)

Members on 25 October should avoid a protest at theDeryneia crossinginto the self-declared 'Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus' (TRNC) due to potential unrest. A women's group has called for a gathering at 15.00 (local time) against the partial reopening of the previously abandoned Varosha area (Famagusta district) by the TRNC. The gathering is also being organised against the recent election of pro-Turkey leader Ersin Tatar as head of the TRNC. Relatedprotests have led to unrest, including the arrest of at least two participants on 11 October.

Sudan: Anticipate disruption, reconfirm flight schedules during nationwide strike by airport workers on 25-27 October

Members due to travel via airports in Sudan on 25-27 October should anticipate disruption and reconfirm flight schedules due to a planned strike. The Sudan Airports Holding Company has called on airport workers nationwide to participate in the industrial action, which will begin at 09.00 (local time) on 25 October and end at the same time on 27 October. The strike is being organised to demand the restructuring of the Civil Aviation Authority, the reinstatement of dismissed workers and favourable working conditions.

Ukraine: Kyiv: Anticipate, avoid further gatherings linked to murder trial due to risk of unrest

Members in the capital Kyiv in the coming days should anticipate and avoid further gatherings linked to a murder trial due to the risk of unrest. At least two people were injured on 21 October after clashes broke out between demonstrators and the police in front of the Shevchenkivsky district court. The incident was sparked by a court decision handed down earlier the same day to extend pretrial measures for three defendants accused of killing journalist Pavlo Sheremet. Supporters of the defendants have since issued calls on social media for further demonstrations.

Europe & CIS: Monitor developments as clashes persist; avoid non-essential travel to Nagorno-Karabakh, shared border regions

Members in Armenia and Azerbaijan should continue to monitor developments amid ongoing clashes along the administrative boundary between the disputed territory of Nagorno-Karabakh and the rest of Azerbaijan. A second ceasefire came into effect on 18 October, though both sides continue to accuse each other of breaching the agreement. The ceasefire came hours after an attack targeted Ganja city (Azerbaijan) on 17 October, killing at least 13 civilians and injuring 50 others. Armenia-backed separatist authorities also reported shelling in Nagorno-Karabakh. The risk of further clashes along the administrative boundary and the international Armenia-Azerbaijan border remains elevated. Isolated incidents in other areas are also possible. Members should avoid non-essential travel to HIGH travel risk areas.

United States: California state: Reconfirm status of routes, follow official directives amid ongoing wildfires in several counties (Revised)

Members in California statein the coming daysshould reconfirm the status of routes and follow official directives due to multiple ongoing wildfires. These have prompted a state of emergency and the closure of several major routes. Mandatory evacuation orders have also been issued for multiple counties. At least 31 people have so far been killed and around 250,000 others evacuated.

Bolivia: Anticipate further unrest following general election; avoid related gatherings

Members in Bolivia over the coming days should avoid further demonstrations linked to the 18 October general election. Ongoing protests began on 20 October in Cochabamba (Cochabamba department) and Santa Cruz de la Sierra (Santa Cruz department), and have continued since then. Rallies have been sparked both by the slow pace of the official vote count, and the widely accepted victory of the Movement for Socialism (MAS) candidate Luis Arce. While further gatherings by MAS supporters and the opposition remain likely in urban centres, significant widespread unrest remains unlikely.

Mexico: Chihuahua state: Fatal shooting outside hotel in Ciudad Juarez highlights risk of violent crime in HIGH risk areas

Members in Chihuahua state are reminded of the significant risk of violent crime following a fatal shooting outside a hotel at the intersection of Pase de La Victoria Avenue and Teofilo Borunda Boulevard in Ciudad Juarez (Chihuahua). The incident occurred at around 19.38 (local time) on 21 October, near the hotel entrance. The victim was reportedly attempting to seek refuge inside the hotel?s guardhouse while being chased by unidentified gunmen, who later fled the scene after shooting him. The police subsequently closed off surrounding roads as they conducted investigations. The incident underlines the need to avoid non-essential journeys to HIGH travel risk areas.

Philippines: Luzon, Visayas islands: Continue to plan journeys accounting for residual disruption following passage of Typhoon Saudel

Members on Luzon island and parts of Visayas island should continue to plan journeys accounting for residual disruption in the coming days following the passage of Typhoon Saudel (known locally as Pepito). The storm made landfall on 20 October as a Severe Tropical Storm and has since passed over Luzon. It then strengthened into a typhoon before leaving the Philippine area of responsibility (PAR) on 22 October. Residual disruption, such as obstructed roads and flooding, can be expected in affected areas, especially in Quezon (Calabarzon region) and Quirino (Cagayan Valley region) provinces.

Nigeria: Abuja: Minimise movement, anticipate further protests against police violence due to risk of unrest (Revised)

Members in the capital Abuja in the coming days should minimise movement due to growing levels of unrest amid anti-police brutality protests (see separate alert). Protesters clashed with unidentified thugs on 20 October after they erected roadblocks on Airport Road. Further rallies could escalate into unrest between protesters, the security forces and counter-demonstrators, posing incidental risks to bystanders. Abuja?s Nnamdi Azikiwe International Airport (ABV) remains operational, though some flight disruption has been reported. Travel to the airport is likely to be blocked by protests.

Nigeria: Abide by curfew in several states amid anti-police brutality protests (Revised)

Members in Nigeria in the coming days should continue to exercise heightened caution and abide by 24-hour (round-the-clock) curfews imposed in more than a dozen states in response to the growing level of unrest amid anti-police brutality protests. On 21 October, widespread protests continued as demonstrators defied the curfews. Clashes between the security forces, protesters and unidentified thugs, often involving the use of live ammunition, were reported in several cities, including Akure, Ondo (both Ondo state), Benin City (Edo state), Enugu (Enugu state), Lagos (Lagos state) and Port Harcourt (Rivers state). Tensions remain high and fresh outbreaks of unrest are likely (see separate alert).

Mozambique: Plan journeys accounting for disruption during ongoing rainy season

Members in Mozambique should plan journeys accounting for travel disruption due to the ongoing rainy season. The worst-affected areas include Manica, Nampula, Niassa, Tete and Zambezia provinces, as well as the capital Maputo. According to the Mozambique National Institute for Meteorology (INAM), adverse weather, including thunderstorms and strong winds, will continue for the remainder of the rainy season, which lasts until April. The season also coincides with a higher risk of cyclones affecting the coastline. Two cyclones, Idai and Kenneth, struck Sofala and Cabo Delgado provinces in March and April 2019, resulting in major damages.

Belarus: Urban centres: Continue to exercise caution, avoid protests as post-election unrest persists

Members should continue to exercise caution and monitor developments as protesters continue to hold regular rallies demanding the resignation of President Alexander Lukashenko, fresh elections and the release of political prisoners. Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya, who considers herself to be the winner of the disputed 9 August presidential election, issued an ultimatum on 13 October for Lukashenko to resign by 25 October. She has warned of a nationwide strike and sustained protests if this demand is not met. All gatherings should be avoided as a precaution. The security forces are likely to continue to disperse demonstrators forcibly. Indiscriminate arrests remain possible.

Thailand: Monitor developments, avoid ongoing anti-government demonstrations in coming days

Members in urban centres in the coming days should monitor developments closely and avoid further anti-government gatherings. Despite the government?s decision to repeal an emergency decree, protests of varying sizes are likely to continue. This is due to a three-day ultimatum given on 21 October for Prime Minister Prayut Chan-o-Cha to resign, one of three demands made by protesters. Simultaneous gatherings are liable to be mobilised at short notice in various locations. They may also cause disruption to public transport and traffic. The security forces are liable to disperse gatherings forcibly and arrest demonstrators, especially in the capital Bangkok.

Iran: North-western provinces: Stray cross-border rocket fire highlights risk of potential spillover violence

Members in north-western provinces over the coming weeks should monitor developments and exercise caution amid a string of stray cross-border rockets stemming from ongoing clashes between Armenia and Azerbaijan (see our separate reports). According to international media reports on 19 October, at least ten stray rockets have landed in Khoda Afarin district (East Azerbaijan province). At least one person has been reportedly injured and some buildings damaged. The incidents underscore the potential for spillover violence in the immediate vicinity of the border area.